Farshid Mojaver Hosseini; Farid Fayazmanesh
Volume 8, Issue 27 , July 2006, , Pages 33-64
Abstract
Assessment of sectoral impacts of Iran’s accession to the world trade organization is the prime objective of this paper. To this end a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model is employed. Using a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM), the model is calibrated to 1997 as the benchmark year. The ...
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Assessment of sectoral impacts of Iran’s accession to the world trade organization is the prime objective of this paper. To this end a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model is employed. Using a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM), the model is calibrated to 1997 as the benchmark year. The results of the model indicate that accession of Iran to WTO leads to 2.6 percent contraction of the manufacturing sector and 1.7 percent expansion of the agricultural sector. Market access provision of WTO is most beneficial to Iranian non-oil exports, such that exports of manufacturing, mining and agriculture increases between 17.5 and 20.5 percent. Joining WTO exerts heavy pressure on mining sector, while construction sector experiences moderate expansion. An increase in international oil price can amplify the impacts of WTO accession on the expansion of the construction sector, weaken its impact on agriculture expansion and worsen its contractionary impact on Mining, Manufacturing and the Utilities.
Gholamreza Keshavarz Haddad
Volume 6, Issue 21 , February 2005, , Pages 115-133
Abstract
In this Paper financial services in the Iranian economy, which is portioned into 41 industries, is considered as a sector with a Leontief production function. Financial Sectors, buy inputs from other sectors, and provide services to expedite the cash fellows and risk transformation for other sectors. ...
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In this Paper financial services in the Iranian economy, which is portioned into 41 industries, is considered as a sector with a Leontief production function. Financial Sectors, buy inputs from other sectors, and provide services to expedite the cash fellows and risk transformation for other sectors. The former relations are called Backward Linkage and the later relations through which the sectors provide output to meet required cash fellow and risk reduction of economic activities are called Forward Linkage. In quantification of the linkages, employment and output elasticity, the forward index of value added, and backward linkage of final demand are used. Furthermore, direct and indirect effects of a hypothetical extraction of the sectors on output and employment are calculated. The results show that, although the linkages between financial sectors and the rest of the economic activities are not strong, their extraction will result in 225246.8 decrease in job opportunity, according to the 1370 input-output table produced by the Statistical Center of Iran.
