Karim Azarbaijani; Seyed Komail Tayebi; Nafiseh Honari
Volume 13, Issue 40 , October 2009, , Pages 59-75
Abstract
The relationship between international trade and emigration is being concerned in most developing countries with their relevant migration and trade policies. Such policies should rely on logical resolutions in order to reduce unemployment pressure on the labor market. Hence، this study examines the ...
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The relationship between international trade and emigration is being concerned in most developing countries with their relevant migration and trade policies. Such policies should rely on logical resolutions in order to reduce unemployment pressure on the labor market. Hence، this study examines the relationship between Iran’s trade volume and labor force emigration to the five major members of the OECD (the US، Canada، the UK، the Netherlands and Sweden) over the period 1992-2004 (1371-1383).Following Mitchell and Pain (2003) and Mayda (2005)، a specified gravity model is estimated by panel data to show the impacts of determinants on the Iran’s emigration. The empirical results obtained indicate that there is a significant and complementary relationship between trade volume and the labor force emigration to the selected countries of OECD in Iran. Additionally، the results show that convergence in the labor force productivity، as a gap between the number of skilled labors falls in Iran and the OECD members، can lead to a decrease in emigration from Iran to abroad.
Ali Taiebni; Rezvan Zandyeh
Volume 13, Issue 38 , April 2009, , Pages 53-96
Abstract
Some studies show that in recent years, despite of increase in commodity prices such as oil and steel and conducting loose monetary policy in most countries, global price levels have low and stable rates of growth and inflation rates are well below the forecasts in Iran, in spite of adopting ...
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Some studies show that in recent years, despite of increase in commodity prices such as oil and steel and conducting loose monetary policy in most countries, global price levels have low and stable rates of growth and inflation rates are well below the forecasts in Iran, in spite of adopting extremely expansionary policies, inflation rate has experienced a relatively stable trend in recent years. This may be due to globalization. This study aims at explaining theoretical bases of globalization effects on inflation and then evaluating it in Iran. In this study a VAR model has been used to test globalization effect on inflation, which mostly presents short-run dynamics of inflation. Results are as follow: 1- The more Iranian economy opens to trade the less domestic business cycles affect inflation and it will have a smoother path. 2-An increase in import price acts as a supply shock in the economy and increases inflation.3- Iran's trade partner's booms and slumps transmit to Iran through trade and affect domestic inflation.